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Vinay Tolia |

American Exceptionalism

America has 5% of the world's population but a quarter of its GDP and 60% of the 100 most valuable companies on earth. On its 250th birthday, the US still owns the leaderboard.

American Exceptionalism

Source: McKinsey Global Institute


America's Blue-Chip Record

The Dow just closed at an all-time high of 52,815 — up nearly 600 points in a day. The country's oldest stock index has never been worth more as America turns 250.

America's Blue-Chip Record

Source: Dow Jones


3 states would rank as top 10 countries by GDP

California's economy just hit $4.3 trillion — bigger than India's, and the largest of any US state. Texas ($2.9T) and New York ($2.5T) would rank as top-10 countries too; America's economy is really a collection of nations.

3 states would rank as top 10 countries by GDP

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis


The World Can't Stop Buying America

Global funds are pouring into US stocks at a record clip — year-to-date inflows have more than doubled since May and blown past the pace of any normal year since 2002. Everyone wants America, even at all-time highs.

The World Can't Stop Buying America

Source: Bloomberg


Uncle Sam's 250-Year Bar Tab

Interest Beats the Pentagon

For the first time in history, America now spends more on interest payments than on its entire national defense. The bill for past borrowing quietly overtook the cost of the military.

Interest Beats the Pentagon

Source: U.S. Treasury


Back to 1943

US government debt relative to the size of the economy has climbed back to 1940s levels — the era of financing a world war. This time, there's no world war to explain it.

Back to 1943

Source: Financial Times


The American Dream, Repriced

Full-Time America Is Shrinking

The number of Americans working full-time has quietly fallen to its lowest since 2024, down more than half a million in June. The headline jobs number keeps beating; the full-time count keeps sliding.

Full-Time America Is Shrinking

Source: BLS


Two Surveys, Half a Million Apart

Two US government job surveys just disagreed by more than half a million: the official payrolls count added 57,000 in June while the household survey LOST 507,000. Somebody's math is very wrong.

Two Surveys, Half a Million Apart

Source: Bloomberg


The Star-Spangled Casino

Everybody Into Tech

Money is flooding into US tech funds at the fastest annual pace ever recorded — on track for a record $152 billion in 2026. The crowd has never been this crowded.

Everybody Into Tech

Source: BofA


Yet nobody wants the power behind it

Investors yanked $3.2 billion out of US energy stocks in a single week — the largest exodus in two years — just as everyone crowds into tech.

Yet nobody wants the power behind it

Source: Bloomberg


Made in the USA

The Underdog Costs More

AMD now trades at nearly three times Nvidia's forward earnings multiple — AMD's valuation has jumped 65% this year while Nvidia's has fallen 52%. The market is paying more for the chipmaker with 10% of the AI GPU market than the one with 90%.

The Underdog Costs More

Source: Fiscal.ai


Just Because...

The Eiffel Tower Grows Six Inches Every Summer

The Eiffel Tower is made of iron, which expands in heat. In summer it can stand up to 15cm (6 inches) taller than in winter, and the tip leans away from the sun by up to 7 inches as the sun-facing side expands. Gustave Eiffel designed for it. Paris's icon is a working thermal-physics demo.

The Eiffel Tower Grows Six Inches Every Summer

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