Volatility Pulse - So you're saying there's a chance?

Vinay Tolia |

I'm sure I would have held it all the way..

A $100,000 bet on SanDisk one year ago would be worth roughly $7.2 million today — the stock is up about 7,000% as the AI-memory boom turned a real semiconductor company into a lottery ticket. One year, one stock, 70x.

I'm sure I would have held it all the way..

Source: Stock Savvy Shay


You've still got time!

Elon Musk made 99.9% of his $1.2 trillion fortune after turning 40 — at 39 he was worth $680 million. Encouraging news for late bloomers, except for the part where you're probably not Elon.

You've still got time!

Source: Charlie Bilello


Buying America, By A Mile

US equity funds have pulled in far more money this year than every other region on earth combined — a record wall of cash flooding into one market while the rest of the world gets the leftovers. Everyone wants the same trade.

Buying America, By A Mile

Source: The Kobeissi Letter


Red, White & Overdrawn

The World's $9 Trillion IOU

Foreign holdings of US Treasuries have climbed to roughly $9.4 trillion — the second-highest on record, with Japan still the single largest lender. The rest of the world keeps quietly funding America's tab.

The World's $9 Trillion IOU

Source: MacroMicro


Back To The Ceiling Already

The debt ceiling was raised by $5 trillion less than a year ago — and the national debt has already burned through $3 trillion of it, climbing from $36.2T to $39.3T. At this pace the 'fix' lasts about a year and a half.

Back To The Ceiling Already

Source: Charlie Bilello


Student Defaults Just Spiked

The number of federal student-loan borrowers in default just spiked back toward 9 million — a near-vertical jump that erased years of steady decline in a matter of months, as pandemic-era pauses ended. The repayment cliff arrived all at once.

Student Defaults Just Spiked

Source: Bespoke


Commodities Gone Weird

Copper Is Quietly Vanishing

Copper inventories across the three major exchanges fell another 54,700 tons last week to 1.09 million — an extended drawdown in the metal that wires the entire electrified economy. Nobody's talking about it.

Copper Is Quietly Vanishing

Source: Saxo Bank


Gas Cracked Four Bucks

The average US gallon of gasoline slipped below $4 for the first time since the early days of the war in Iran, sliding toward $3. The most visible price in America is quietly falling.

Gas Cracked Four Bucks

Source: AAA


Priced For Perfection

Rich...but Sure It's Rigged

Even with markets at record highs, 86% of upper-income Americans now doubt their kids will be better off, and 65% feel the system is 'stacked against people like me' — up from 29% in 2017. Record portfolios, record gloom.

Rich...but Sure It's Rigged

Source: Wall Street Journal


Adobe's Lost Half-Decade

Adobe just hit its lowest price in more than eight years, down over 70% from its 2021 peak — an original software darling now trading like the AI trade forgot it exists. Not every tech name is at an all-time high.

Adobe's Lost Half-Decade

Source: Barchart


The Memory Mania

$1 Billion To $160 Billion

Micron's operating income is on track to rocket from about $1 billion to roughly $160 billion in under three years — a 160x swing that reframes 'memory chip maker' as one of the great profit machines of the cycle.

$1 Billion To $160 Billion

Source: Stock Savvy Shay


Off The Tape

America Won The Last 200 Years

Since 1800, no other nation's stock market has compounded like America's — US equities now tower over essentially every foreign market combined. Two centuries, one undefeated champion.

America Won The Last 200 Years

Source: Meb Faber


Just Because...

'Disaster' Means the Stars Are Messed Up

The word 'disaster' comes from Italian 'disastro' — 'dis' (bad) + 'astro' (star). Ancient belief held that catastrophes were caused by unfavorable star alignments. We stopped believing in astrology but kept the vocabulary. Every earnings disaster, market disaster, and natural disaster is technically blaming the stars.

'Disaster' Means the Stars Are Messed Up

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