Volatility Pulse - Debt Collector

Vinay Tolia |

Zero Panic Days

2026 has not had a single 80% NYSE downside volume day. The average year sees 21. The current streak of 185 consecutive days without one is the longest on record back to 1996, and it is not close.

Zero Panic Days

Source: Bespoke Investment Group


Financials Won't Stop Winning

Financial stocks just posted their longest weekly winning streak ever: 11 straight weeks, eclipsing the prior record of 9 set in January 2004.

Financials Won't Stop Winning

Source: Bloomberg


Record Portfolios, Negative Vibes

The median value of Americans' stock market holdings just spiked to a record high. At the same time, the net share saying their financial situation improved vs. a year ago is negative 2%. Richer than ever, feeling worse than ever.

Record Portfolios, Negative Vibes

Source: University of Michigan


Debt Actually Fell

Total household debt fell last quarter to $18.77 trillion from $18.78 trillion. Think about that: all anyone talks about is how much debt there is, and it went the wrong way.

Debt Actually Fell

Source: NY Fed Consumer Credit Panel / Equifax


Broke People Buying Everything

Everyone says the consumer is tapped out, yet the equal-weight Consumer Discretionary Index just printed all-time highs. If people really could not afford anything, this chart would not exist.

Broke People Buying Everything

Source: TrendLabs / Optuma


Bessent Blinked

The 30-year yield touched 5.29%, its highest since June 2007. Within hours the Treasury doubled its buyback operations, and the yield fell about 10 basis points in minutes.

Bessent Blinked

Source: Bloomberg


Gold, BTC Read the Room

Treasury announces bigger debt buybacks. Bitcoin jumps 5.2%. Gold rallies 3.3%. The dollar falls 0.8%. All three moved the same direction at the same time, and it was not up for the dollar.

Gold, BTC Read the Room

Source: YCharts


Six-Figure Semester

Fifteen US colleges now cost more than $100,000 a year, including tuition, fees, food, housing, and books. Harvey Mudd leads at $104,512. That is $400,000+ for a four-year degree.

Six-Figure Semester

Source: The Princeton Review / CNBC


Hormuz Traffic: Zero

Vessel crossings through the Strait of Hormuz dropped to zero after running 60-80 per day for years. The world's most important oil chokepoint went dark.

Hormuz Traffic: Zero

Source: Bloomberg


Foreigners Keep Buying America

Foreign investors bought roughly $180 billion of US equities in June 2026, the biggest single-month equity total on this two-year chart.

Foreigners Keep Buying America

Source: Bloomberg


Three Point Four Billion Daily

Federal interest payments now run at $1.25 trillion a year, which works out to about $3.4 billion every day. In 2019 the same line sat near $500 billion.

Three Point Four Billion Daily

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis


Just Because...

Jobs Didn't Want Apps

When the iPhone launched in 2007, Steve Jobs explicitly did not want third-party apps. He called native web apps 'the sweet solution.' The App Store was not added until a full year later, in July 2008, after intense pressure from developers. The most successful app platform in history was an afterthought its creator opposed.

Jobs Didn't Want Apps

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